China’s Economy Swiftly Rebounding, Boosted by International Trade

BEIJING, KOMPAS.com – China’s economy is well on the path to recovery boosted by strong gains in international trade.

China's imports grew at their fastest pace this year in September, while exports followed suit as more trading partners lifted coronavirus restrictions.

China’s international trade performance has catapulted the recovery of the world's second-biggest economy.

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Exports in September rose 9.9 percent from a year earlier, customs data showed on Tuesday, broadly in line with analysts' expectations and up from a solid 9.5 percent increase in August.

The strong international trade performance suggests Chinese exporters are making a brisk recovery from the pandemic's hit to overseas orders.

As the global economy restarts, Chinese firms are rushing to grab market share as their rivals grapple with reduced manufacturing capacity.

"The big picture is that outbound shipments remain strong, with easing demand for Covid-19 related goods such as face masks being mostly offset by a recovery in broader demand for Chinese-made consumer goods," Capital Economics Senior China Economist Julian Evans-Pritchard said.

"A jump in imports suggests that domestic investment spending remains strong."

China's factory activity has also picked up as international trading gradually resumes.

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But some analysts warn exports could peak soon as the demand for Chinese-made protective gear recedes and the base effect of this year's massive declines wears off.

Imports surged 13.2 percent in September, returning to growth from a fall of 2.1 percent in August and much stronger than expectations for a 0.3 percent increase.

Recovery at home

Wang Jun, Chief Economist at Zhongyuan Bank, said the data showed government support for China's economy has kicked in as the epidemic comes under control.

"This has boosted domestic demand, especially investment-led demand, which buoyed imports," Wang said, adding that the yuan's recent appreciation was positive for imports and people's spending power.

The Chinese yuan rose to a 17-month high against the dollar on Friday.

The rise in imports pushed the trade surplus for September down to $37 billion, compared with $58.93 billion in August and lower than an expected $58.00 billion.

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Across products, China bought more soybeans, grains, semiconductors, copper, and steel products in September, customs data showed.

Analysts expect imports to stay on an improving trend, underpinned by strengthening domestic demand.

Zhang Jun, Chief Economist at Morgan Stanley Huaxin Securities, said higher purchases of US agricultural and energy products as China implemented the Phase 1 US-China trade deal, and the resumption of logistics services in the United States and Europe contributed to China's import strength.

Top US and Chinese trade officials reaffirmed their commitment to a Phase 1 trade deal in a phone call in August.

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China's trade surplus with the United States narrowed to $30.75 billion in September from $34.24 billion in August. 

(Writers: Gabriel Crossley, Stella Qiu, Colin Qian | Editors: Sam Holmes, Richard Pullin)

Source: https://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-china-economy-trade/chinas-imports-exports-surge-as-global-economy-reopens-idUKKBN26Y0AF