The Solo-Hambalang Axis Relationship Enters a New Phase Following Gibran's Resignation

However, as a non-parliamentary party, the PSI faces challenges in building a strength that can be accounted for within the national political configuration.

On the other hand, Prabowo has broader leeway to consolidate the government without ongoing political controversies surrounding Gibran.

Jamiluddin predicts that the formal relationship between the two factions will still appear cooperative.

However, beneath that relationship, differing interests may become more pronounced as the 2029 elections approach.

"The Hambalang-Solo alliance formed during the 2024 presidential election has now entered a new chapter," he stated.

With Gibran's resignation, Jamiluddin believes that the Solo faction will focus on independent consolidation for the 2029 election, while the Hambalang faction will have the freedom to organize coalitions without legal controversies burdening them.

Gibran's resignation does not automatically end the political relationship between Jokowi and Prabowo, but it does allow both to potentially start pursuing their own political agendas independently of the power configuration that existed during the 2024 presidential elections.

Jokowi's Statement: A Signal for Peace or Maintaining Safe Distance?

Moreover, Jokowi's statement reaffirming his support for Prabowo's government is seen by Jamiluddin as an effort to maintain stable political relations and mitigate speculation regarding a rift between Jokowi and Prabowo.

According to him, there are two messages that can be interpreted from Jokowi's statement.

First, acceptance of the political reality faced by Gibran. Second, an attempt to preserve good relations with Prabowo even though his son is no longer in government.

When Jokowi refers to positions as temporary, he attempts to frame Gibran's resignation as part of typical political dynamics rather than a family political defeat.

This narrative can also serve to mitigate the impact of Gibran's resignation on Jokowi's and Gibran's public images.

Jamiluddin observes that Jokowi aims to ensure Gibran's decision is not interpreted as a form of opposition against Prabowo.

"Jokowi's insistence that Gibran continue to support President Prabowo's government, especially in programs prioritizing public interests, can be read as a peace signal or a gesture of political buffer," said Jamiluddin.

However, there is another side to Jokowi's word choice.

Jamiluddin points out that the emphasis on programs beneficial to the public allows Jokowi to maintain his political position without being structurally tied to Prabowo's government.

This means Jokowi's support need not be construed as a complete surrender of his political interests to the Hambalang camp.

Jokowi can still maintain a position as a political figure with his own support base while demonstrating a cooperative attitude toward Prabowo's government.

Such statements can also be interpreted as a strategy to keep a safe distance.

By not positioning himself as an opposition, Jokowi retains the space to determine his next political steps according to the situation's developments.

Jamiluddin believes Jokowi’s statements are not driven by a single motive.

On one hand, Jokowi seeks to demonstrate acceptance of Gibran's political decision.

On the other, he attempts to ensure that issues surrounding his son do not escalate into an open conflict with Prabowo.

In doing so, personal relations and political communications between the two figures can be maintained, even as their political interests may begin to diverge further.