JAKARTA, KOMPAS.com – The Indonesian economy could rebound to a 6 percent growth in 2021 if certain conditions are met, said the Centre of Reform on Economics (CORE).
CORE projects that the Indonesian economy could see a growth of 3-6 percent next year though its feasibility depends on the fulfillment of several criteria.
CORE explains that an economic rebound could happen in 2021 if the number of Covid-19 infections gradually and consistently reduce.
The second aspect is on Covid-19 vaccine distribution that is successful and is made accessible to the public by the second semester of next year.
The national economic recovery would also be bolstered if the Indonesian society is able to adapt to the pandemic and if there is improved public trust.
These aspects are especially important for the middle to upper-class whose purchasing power could bolster the national economy and support a swifter recovery.
“The condition would also need to be supported by government policies that are rapid and effective, and ones which are not solely focused on the short term. What is needed are policy breakthroughs to spur reforms and economic transformations for a strong and resilient recovery.”
CORE’s assessment puts the Indonesian economy hovering at around 3 percent in 2021 if the number of Covid-19 cases dwindle down by the end of 2020 and should the country experience a second wave of infections next year.